Monday, July 16, 2012

Reported Deaths in Syria per 10,000 Population March 18, 2011 thru July 14, 2012

Syria Tracker is a crowdsourced effort began collecting reports from the country in April 2011; just a few weeks after the first protests began. The members include nine US-based Arab Americans and one US-based American. After 17 months of painstaking work, we have cataloged reports on ~20,000 uprising-related deaths (in 184 places throughout the 13 provinces). Checking the recent report release through July 14, 2012, we are currently running names on more than 84% of deaths with more than 80% include video links or pictures (many we haven’t had time to update to the site, but are in our freely available database).

The aim of this analysis is to give some idea of which areas are being “hardest hit” in terms of population. The most recently available population data we have is from the 2004 Census, but it is represented at the Admin 3 Level (If Admin 1 was states, and Admin2 was Counties, Admin 3 would be something like zip codes). The location of each death report was mapped to the Admin 3 region.

Based on this, it appears that the central region of Idleb and Al Rastan (in the northern part of Hama Province) are suffering the most proportionately at nearly 1.5 per 100 persons. Of the 19,738 documented killings as of July 14, 2012, 7 percent are women and 93 percent are men. Syria Tracker has found that the women killed were significantly younger than the men—on average, about seven years younger. The average age (in years) for men is 26; for women, 19.The main causes of deaths for women in Syria is as follows: 43% Bombing, 24% Gunshot wound, 11% Shot by Sniper, 7% Slaughtered, 4% Open wounds, 3% Bombardment aviation, 2% Lack access to treatment, 2% Bomb explosion, 1% Under torture, and 3% Other (tear gas, burn, suffocation, etc.). [Please also refer to Lauren Wolfe's recent report on how rape is being used as a tool of war in Syria].

Some caution suggested, however, not only has the population changed, but there is a growing refugee population. The first chart is national level, using only colors to show the rates. The following charts are closeups of different regions, and illustrate the actual rates, and the name of the sub-region when it is available in English.

Deaths recorded by Syria Tracker since a ceasefire was called in April 2012.

The single most violent week was in the last 2-3 weeks (Over 900 deaths in week- that is worse than the Assault on Homs in Feb), and the escalation of violence in Damascus is something new.
Please help us document the crimes in Syria at Syria Tracker
  • Anonymous, if you wish
  • Instructions for security precautions in English and Arabic
  • Send an Email: You may submit reports via email
  • Send us a Tweet (@SyriaTracker): adding the hashtag #basharcrimes to your tweet(s)
  • Location Matters! Please make sure you include the location or geo-location of the report when submitting via email or twitter

Unfortunately, for the security of those reporting from within Syria, most reports are not fixed to a GPS location. Users that submit reports via the website can graphically indicate a location on the map.  Reports by twitter are mapped to the lowest level of detail based on the description and recorded as a Lat Lon.  We have used an GIS application to reverse map against shapefiles for the Syrian Administrative districts at levels 1, 2, and 3.

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About Syria Tracker

Please help us document the crimes in Syria at Syria Tracker - Anonymous, if you wish - Instructions for security precautions in English and Arabic - Send an Email: You may submit reports via email - Send a Tweet to @SyriaTracker - Location Matters! Please make sure you include the location or geo-location of the report when submitting via email or twitter
Attribution: Syria Tracker (a Project of Humanitarian Tracker) in collaboration with Syrian Martyrs