Friday, September 28, 2012

Comparison of Reported Deaths in SyriaTracker by Gender



Comparison of Reported Deaths in SyriaTracker by Gender

Data from Mar 11, 2011 through Sept 4, 2012

Syria Tracker is a crowdsourcing effort that has collected reported deaths of civilian and army defectors in Syria with the help of SyrianMartyrs شهداء الثورة السورية and Women Under Siege.  The data collected by Syria Tracker not only covers the dates and locations of each death, but also gender.  In this report, we are presenting an initial analysis of deaths by gender.  While the predominate number of casualties have been male, there has been a good deal of variation in female death rates based on the nature of the unrest and the amount of attacking civilian areas.  Note that the data for September 2012 only reflect the first four days of the month.
Month
Male Deaths
Female Deaths
% Female Deaths
Mar-11
120
1
0.83%
Apr-11
712
15
2.06%
May-11
523
39
6.94%
Jun-11
520
9
1.70%
Jul-11
427
16
3.61%
Aug-11
635
58
8.37%
Sep-11
496
25
4.80%
Oct-11
539
35
6.10%
Nov-11
777
33
4.07%
Dec-11
1060
59
5.27%
Jan-12
1124
65
5.47%
Feb-12
2349
241
9.31%
 Mar-12
2179
189
7.98%
Apr-12
1838
152
7.64%
May-12
1289
154
10.67%
Jun-12
2427
266
9.88%
Jul-12
3980
402
9.17%
Aug-12
5810
634
9.84%
Sep-12
721
53
6.85%
Grand Total
27526
2446
8.16%
Monthly Breakdown of Deaths by Gender in Syria
March 18, 2011 through September 4, 2012 – Source: Syria Tracker

After a notable spike in August 2011, the relative amounts of female deaths have remained elevated since February 2012 (renewed attack on Homs), and have remained elevated despite the UN Ceasefire. Despite the increased action of the Free Syrian Army in recent months, it is somewhat surprising that female deaths are remaining at these levels.   Unfortunately this means that, despite the Syrian government’s claims that “terrorists” are being targeted, many civilians are still being killed.  A graphic breakdown of deaths by month and gender is shown below. 

 Stacked Representation of Monthly Deaths by Gender in Syria
March 18, 2011 through September 4, 2012 – Source: Syria Tracker
We have also analyzed the relative percentage of reported female deaths by governate (the 13 provinces of Syria, as well as the city of Damascus) for this time period, the results are shown below.  If we consider the provinces where there were more than 100 reported deaths and a rate of 7.5% or higher in female deaths, the Governates of Homs, Hama, Aleppo and Dayr Az Zor have the highest reported rates. We have also included the female population from the 2004 Syrian Census (the latest available), and compared the number of reported deaths to the 2004 female population to get a feel for which areas would provide a high level of risk for female fatalities.  From this perspective Homs had by far the highest rate of female deaths, with Idleb, Dayr Az Zour, and Dara forming the next level of intensity.  From both perspectives, Homs ranks as a region where deaths of women are more likely, and this unfortunately corresponds to the data form Women Under Siege that shows higher degrees of sexual assaults in homes and assaults perpetrated by the Shabiha.

Governate
Male Deaths
Female Deaths
% Female Deaths
2004 Fem Pop
Deaths Per 100 K
Al_Qunaytirah/القنيطرة
51
3
5.56%
32588
9.206
Aleppo/حلب
2309
223
8.81%
1954486
11.410
As_Suweida/السويداء
13
0
0.00%
157436
0.000
City_Damascus/دمشق
1361
62
4.36%
755949
8.202
Damascus/ريف دمشق
4989
337
6.33%
1101328
30.599
Dara/درعا
2698
220
7.54%
412934
53.277
Dayr_Az_Zor/دير الزور
1650
217
11.62%
490822
44.212
Hama/حماة
2687
238
8.14%
673332
35.347
Hassakeh/الحسكة
94
0
0.00%
628150
0.000
Homs/حمص
6975
786
10.13%
742988
105.789
Idleb/إدلب
4037
319
7.32%
612491
52.082
Lattakia/اللاذقية
506
32
5.95%
431768
7.411
Raqqa/الرقة
86
2
2.27%
386380
0.518
Tartous/طرطوس
70
7
9.09%
343294
2.039
Grand Totals
27526
2446
8.16%
8723946
28.038
Breakdown of Deaths by Governate and Gender in Syria
March 18, 2011 through September 4, 2012 – Source: Syria Tracker

A graphic representation of the reported female deaths per each 100,000 of the female population as indicated in the 2004 census is illustrated below. 

Geospatial Graph of Reported Female Deaths in Syria Per 100K of 2004 Female Population
March 18, 2011 through September 4, 2012 – Source: Syria Tracker

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